Showing posts with label Miami Heat. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Miami Heat. Show all posts

Wednesday, June 15, 2011

Final Thoughts on the Finals ('10-'11)

NBA FINALS

Before I delve too deeply into the issues that everyone has been obsessing over since the end of the NBA finals last Sunday, I must give credit where credit is due.

I offer my sincere congratulations to owner Mark Cuban, head coach Rick Carlisle, and team and finals MVP Dirk Nowitzki. I counted the Mavericks out several times and believed what I read when some analysts picked Portland as the team most likely to beat a higher seeded team in the first round. Even after that, I wasn’t sure that they’d be able to beat the two-time defending champion Los Angeles Lakers. After that, I wasn’t sure how they’d be able to handle a team with two budding stars that could jump out of the gym and over the geriatric crows wearing Mavs uniforms. After that, I was sure that they would not be able to hang with a group of three young stars (I’m not going to distinguish between “stars” and “superstars”) who seemed to be playing their best basketball and were peaking at the right time.

What happened? 4-2, 4-0, 4-1, 4-2.

Don’t I look stupid?

So how did they do it? The easy answer is that they scored more points than the Heat in 4 of their 6 games but that’s not really anything new. As long as Dirk has been playing for the Mavericks, they have been one of the most efficient offensive teams in the league. The problem was always at the defensive end and this year they changed all of that. The additions of Brendan Haywood and Tyson Chandler are probably the reason that they hoisted the trophy over the weekend because now, Dirk doesn’t have to play the five. He can play the four where he is taller and longer than just about anyone he’ll match up with. At the five, he had to match up against Shaquille O’Neal. At times in the Finals, he was matched up against Dwayne Wade.

No offense intended but if you’re Nowitzki and it’s the fourth quarter of an important game of the NBA finals, which match-up would you rather have? D-Wade is a great player and if he was guarding Dirk, it was because of a switch but it still illustrates my point. Dirk has never been the bang down low, grab 15 rebounds and control the paint kind of guy. He’s much better roaming the perimeter and sometimes going into the post to take advantage of a mismatch and the additions of Haywood and Chandler allowed him to do that.

So the Mavericks were better offensively and they were better defensively. Another aspect which is ever more important than either of those is that the Mavericks were better mentally. Why should a 15 point deficit late in game 2 (already trailing one game to none) faze them when they faced similar circumstances against the Thunder? Why should that bother them when everyone… and I mean everyone… wrote them off after coughing up a 24 point lead late to Portland in a win for the Trailblazers that tied the series.

Interestingly, I would normally say that there are two ways to handle adversity; wilt under the added pressure or stare it down and resolve not to go down without a fight. However, I’m adding a third category that is a subset of the second and this is where the Mavericks incredible run falls; they didn’t change a thing.

I’m sure there were minor tweaks here and there by Rick Carlisle (who might finally get his appreciation amongst fans) and some guys shot better or made better decisions but they were the same team that made it this far. They never tried to reinvent the wheel. They knew that Portland overcoming a 24 point lead was an aberration and if they played their game they would prevail (they did). They knew that the Thunder having a big lead late didn’t matter because Dirk was already in the zone of a lifetime and all they had to do was feed him the ball and they’d prevail (they did). They knew that Miami’s cockiness was on display after D-Wade’s potential series changing three pointer gave the Heat a 15 point lead late in game 2 and they knew that the Heat would expect the Mavs to clench up the rest of the way. They knew they just had to do the same thing they always had and the shots would start to fall and they would prevail (they did).

What I’m really going for here is the difference between confidence and cockiness. The Heat were cocky; the Mavericks were confident. If you need any more evidence, look at Nowitzki’s game 6. He finished the game 9-27 from the field but if you just saw that, you would miss a lot of key information. He was 1-13 in the first half from the field (1-13!!!) and in the second half he shot a much more Dirk-like 8-14. What changed at halftime (or the end of the third quarter when he was still just 4-20) that made him superhuman once again in the fourth quarter? In my opinion, nothing changed. Many of his shots were in-and-out type misses and he knew eventually those would start falling and sure enough, they did and the Mavericks prevailed once again.

The difference is that when athletes are put under pressure, some believe that it will require a superhuman effort to get passed the obstacle in front of them and that is the clenching that I saw from the Miami Heat (with the exception of LeBron who I will get to later). What the Mavericks taught us this postseason is they knew they were capable of getting past anything; all they had to do was keep going, keep grinding and they would eventually prevail…

…and they did.


LEBRON

So much has been said about LeBron James in the few days since the season ended that to repeat them here would be nothing short of ludicrous. Basically, what all the talk has boiled down to is this:

LeBron James is not better than Michael Jordan.

All that I wonder about that statement is what took us so long to figure it out? For the past 13 seasons the media has obsessing combed over college basketball as well as the NBA looking at tomorrow’s bright young players and whenever they’ve found one sufficiently dazzling, they have asked the question…

Is the next Michael Jordan?

First it was Allen Iverson, or “The Answer” (presumably to the question I just posed) and then when we realized that he was going to struggle to shoot even 45% from the floor (which he did twice in 14 seasons while Jordan shot better than 45% all 12 of his full time seasons in Chicago) we moved on to Kobe Bryant. Here we might have found a decent player to compare to Michael Jordan. In a lot of ways, their career arcs are very similar from enormously physically gifted 2 guard to more of a jump shooter as their career took a toll on their legs.

Now, we’re onto LeBron James.

Yes, I’m sure there have been others that have borne the mantle of the “Next Michael Jordan” but frankly, I don’t care because I’m here to say this. Nobody has ever put the entire package of physical skill, basketball skill, and a downright ridiculous will to win in the same body the way Jordan has. Nobody. To claim that anyone has achieved a truly Jordan-esque level is unfair to that player as well as to Jordan himself. Many people have had the first one or the second one or even both of the first two and James belongs in that category. But nobody has ever matched that skill with the will to win the way Jordan did and the only others that might be able to say they had that will to win were not as basketball blessed as Jordan was. To be perfectly clear, I’m not saying that Jordan didn’t have to do one day of work and was just that good to begin with. I feel very comfortable saying that nobody worked harder on those Chicago teams than Jordan did and everyone else worked that hard because they saw their superstar working that hard.

So if LeBron James is not the next Michael Jordan, where does he fit in the pantheon of greatness? For the answer to this, I’m going to defer to Charles Barkley, a guy I always loved to watch play and never liked to watch comment on a basketball game. I don’t know why, he’s always grated on me. Anyways, Barkley said that a better comparison for James would be Magic Johnson and he hit the nail so precisely on the head, it’s scary.

When Magic was drafted number one overall following the 1978-1979 season, he went to a team that had gone 47-35 the year before and had a young(er) Kareem Abdul-Jabbar who still had 787 games and 16,246 points left on his tires. The onus was not on Magic to save that franchise. On top of that, two years later the Lakers would draft James Worthy (#1 overall after a 57-25 season and their second title in three years) and the three of them would form the core of that run which included 9 Finals appearances in 12 years.

When Larry Bird was drafted, the Celtics were not nearly so well off. However, two years after the Celtics drafted Bird, they drafted another future Hall of Famer in Kevin McHale and then acquired a 26 year old Robert Parish from Golden State and a 29 year old Dennis Johnson from Phoenix. There you have the core of a team that played in the Finals five times and won three.

The seven players drafted since LeBron James have COMBINED for 7,045 points and 2,560 rebounds in 940 games. For comparison’s sake, James has played in 627 games and has 17,362 points and 4,451 rebounds.

I’m not trying to make you feel sorry for James; not one bit. All I’m saying is this; if James had been drafted to a good team with several good players and there had been other scoring options, I think he would have preferred to play the role of more of a point forward as opposed to the primary scoring option. When he kept deferring to Wade and Bosh in the Finals, I don’t think his only fault was being overwhelmed by the moment. I think part of it is he doesn’t want to carry the scoring burden and I think that might have been part of the reason he went to Miami; he would be playing alongside two legitimate scorers who could carry the load while he did what he always wanted to do; distribute.

Do I think this is a character flaw? Not at all. On the court, James is a very unselfish player and asserted himself in the playoffs more out of necessity (due to Wade’s struggles and Bosh’s inconsistency) than out of a will to take over. The problem is that people saw the scoring he was doing in Cleveland and immediately put him up in the realm of Jordan and they never really thought about whether or not he wants to be remembered as a scorer or a passer.

Do I consider the Heat’s season a failure? No, I don’t. It’s not a success either but this group of guys hadn’t experienced adversity together yet (now they have) and didn’t know how to react. I foresee a far more relaxed and comfortable group next year and I don’t see anyone stopping them.





That’s all for now but soon I’ll be writing something that has been stewing since November… open arrogance amongst the best athletes of today and how my respect for them would grow if their open arrogance did too…

Sunday, July 11, 2010

LeBron James

First and foremost, it should be mentioned that I am not a fan of the NBA in general. There are several players and coaches that I like and a few teams that are (sometimes) enjoyable to watch play. I will admit that I did watch nearly all of Game 7 of the NBA finals this year (keep in mind that I do not have cable so the opportunity rarely presents itself). I figured that my self-imposed NBA exile, which is going on twelve years now, could have a one night hiatus to watch one of my favorite all time teams (Celtics) battle one of my least favorite teams (Lakers).

Before I get on to the meat of this article, I have to pay homage. Game 7 was a brawl. It was the type of game that I enjoyed playing in when I was in high school because while I never seemed to be able to find a shooting rhythm offensively, physical defense was one of my fortes so I loved watching the Lakers and Celtics trade body-blows for 48 minutes and yes, when all was said and done, the Lakers definitely deserved to win that game.

I’ve watched and followed a lot of great players come and go through the NBA over the past 18 years or so. I distinctly remember watching the Chicago Bulls and the Portland Trailblazers in the Finals, cheering for some guy named Clyde “The Glide” Drexler and watching him get beaten by Michael Jordan. Over the next five or six years I began to appreciate Michael Jordan for what he was and what he brought to his team every night. I watched every game of the NBA Finals after the Bulls won 72 games and then beat my Seattle Supersonics (they were mine at the time). I watched every game the next two years as two of my favorite players of the past twenty years, John Stockton and Karl Malone, tried to punch through the wall that nobody could get through between 1991-1993 and 1996-1998. I feel confident in saying that the Jazz would have won back to back titles in 1997 and 1998 if Jordan had been playing baseball; that team had everything.

Michael Jordan, Scottie Pippen, Hakeem Olajuwon, David Robinson, Tim Duncan, Karl Malone, John Stockton, Shaquille O’Neal, and (sigh) Kobe Bryant have been just a few of the magnificent players that have played in front of my eyes in the time I’ve been aware of the NBA. None of them could hold a candle to the physical gifts of one LeBron James.

Here’s a good way to look at it. Karl Malone, one of the best players in league history, was listed at 6’9” and 250 pounds. He had broad shoulders and was light on his feet but he was a forward. He wasn’t the type of guy that could scramble for a loose ball on the floor in front of the basket, rip it away from an opponent, and then elevate and throw down a two-handed stuff over the opposing shot-blocking center. He would still get two points out of the equation but he would leave you thinking “How can he make that shot right under the hoop when he’s only 6’9” and the opposing center is 7’2” and right next to him?” Trust me, I know because I had that thought I-don’t-know-how-many times in the mid to late 90’s.

By contrast, LeBron James is listed at 6’8” and 240 pounds. Just an inch shorter, just ten pounds lighter. James runs the floor like a point guard, light on his feet and ready to change direction at an instant’s notice. Once he gets the rim into the forefront of his mind, there is very little that you can do to stop him other than… no, I can’t really think of anything. Around the rim, he explodes with a size and strength (not to mention a 44” vertical) that few in NBA history have ever had.

Now that we’ve talked a bit about the meat of this post, it’s time to tackle the gristle. By that, of course, I mean “The Decision”.

Does the prospect of having LeBron James, Dwayne Wade, and Chris Bosh in the same uniform intrigue me? Absolutely. Does it interest me that all three took less money to play together? Not really because even though it’s been reported that they all left about $15 million on the table, the contracts are still worth roughly $105 million (for Wade) and $110 million (for James and Bosh). While a 12% discount may be significant in the NBA, it means nothing in the real world when it comes to sacrifice. If they wanted to make headlines about taking discounts, I would have loved the three of them to signed for $5 million a year and tell the general manager “go out and get all the pieces that you need to put around us so we can be the Celtics (60’s version) of this generation”. Did that happen? Nope.

Last year, James put forth a ridiculous line of 29.7 points, 7.3 rebounds, and 8.6 assists per game. Combining that with Wade’s 26.6-4.8-6.5 and Bosh’s 24.0-10.8-2.4 does make one wonder. How many times in league history has a team had three 20 point-per-game scorers on the same team? Very good question.

In the history of the NBA, a player has averaged 20 or more points per game 1,131 times, from Joe Fulks in the 1946-47 season (23.2 ppg) to the young superstars of today. The first set of teammates to score 20 points per game or more happened in the 1954-55 season when Neil Johnston (22.7) and Paul Arizin (21.0) accomplished the feat. Believe it or not, there have actually been 16 different sets of three teammates that have averaged over 20 points per game in the same season.

1959-60 St. Louis Hawks
Bob Pettit – 26.1
Cliff Hagan – 24.8
Clyde Lovellette – 20.8

1960-61 St. Louis Hawks
Bob Pettit – 27.9
Cliff Hagan – 22.1
Clyde Lovellette – 22.0

1966-1967 Boston Celtics
Sam Jones – 22.1
John Havilcek – 21.4
Bailey Howell – 20.0

1968-69 San Francisco Warriors
Jeff Mullins – 22.8
Nate Thurmond – 21.5
Rudy LaRusso – 20.7

1969-70 Chicago Bulls
Chet Walker – 21.5
Bob Love – 21.0
Clem Haskins – 20.3

1969-70 Phoenix Suns
Connie Hawkins – 24.6
Dick Van Arsdale – 21.3
Gail Goodrich – 20.0

1971-72 Golden State Warriors
Jeff Mullins – 21.5
Cazzie Russell – 21.4
Nate Thurmond – 21.4

1980-81 Denver Nuggets
David Thompson – 25.5
Alex English – 23.8
Dan Issel – 21.9

1981-82 Denver Nuggets
Alex English – 25.4
Dan Issel – 22.9
Kiki Vandeweghe – 21.5

1982-83 Denver Nuggets
Alex English – 28.4
Kiki Vandeweghe – 26.7
Dan Issel – 21.6

1983-84 Philadelphia 76ers
Moses Malone – 22.7
Julius Erving – 22.4
Andrew Toney – 20.4

1986-87 Seattle Supersonics
Dale Ellis – 24.9
Tom Chambers – 23.3
Xavier McDaniel – 23.0

1987-88 Seattle Supersonics
Dale Ellis – 25.8
Xavier McDaniel – 21.4
Tom Chambers – 20.4

1988-89 Phoenix Suns
Tom Chambers – 25.7
Eddie Johnson – 21.5
Kevin Johnson – 20.4

1990-91 Golden State Warriors
Chris Mullin – 25.7
Mitch Richmond – 23.9
Tim Hardaway – 22.9

2007-08 Golden State Warriors
Baron Davis – 21.8
Monta Ellis – 20.2
Stephen Jackson – 20.1

So in other words, having three good scorers actually share the ball isn’t unheard of. However, for the James-Wade-Bosh marriage, I only see two scenarios for how well it will work out.

1) The three of them start bickering about whose team it is and who deserves the most shots/points/dollars, etc. Halfway through the season Pat Riley realizes the magnitude of his mistake and retires. All three have decent statistical years but the Heat go 41-41 and miss the playoffs. Cleveland and Toronto rejoice while the rest of the league looks on in amusement at the situation in Miami.
2) With the addition of a big bruising, 7’, 300 pound center that can’t score worth a lick, Bosh is free to cherry-pick rebounds, outlet the ball to James, who sprints down the court with Wade and another 3-point shooter filling the lanes. Bosh averages 16-14, Wade averages 35-4-4, and James averages his triple double (25-10-12) as the Heat win 65 games. In the playoffs, they don’t change their style of play and keep running up and down the floor and the young legs of LeBron, Dwayne, and Chris (25, 28, and 25) carry the Heat to another title, the first of several during this threesome’s tenure.

Is it going to work? I honestly don’t know. Dwayne Wade and LeBron James are two very unselfish players so I think that they could coexist peacefully. The only question is how the locker room will react when they lose three or four games in a row.

If I was team president Pat Riley, I’d send these three along with head coach Erik Spoelstra somewhere remote where all they had was a gym and I would get the four of them to start game-planning how these three superstars are going to share just one basketball.